Connected wallet

0xA91E...7C2A

Portfolio shell for the eventual wallet session and account-risk experience, organized more like a live desk than a static profile screen.

Portfolio value

$63,840

Cash balance

$48,220

Realized PnL

+$4,920

Unrealized PnL

+$2,180

Win rate

62%

Portfolio note

Institutional desk read

Live book

The current book is tilted toward macro-easing and crypto-beta continuation, with a positive PnL profile and concentrated exposure in a small number of high-conviction contracts. A production-grade version would layer on scenario-based risk limits and hedge monitoring.

Gross exposure

4,680

Winning positions

3/3

Largest line

$13,050

Focus contract

YES

Risk posture

A compact read on concentration, liquidity, and signal alignment.

Book concentration

$13,050

Largest marked position in the current portfolio.

Signal alignment

4 active

Open positions currently supported by live signal coverage.

Cash reserve

$48,220

Available liquidity for adding or hedging positions.

Win rate

62%

Current realized success ratio across the mock book.

Portfolio signal exposure

The active signals currently influencing the open prediction book.

Bitcoin demand supported by persistent ETF net inflows

Spot demand continues to absorb supply, giving crypto risk higher conviction and keeping new highs within reach.

cryptoflows

bullish

Confidence 86

Nasdaq 100 bullish momentum breakout

Price reclaimed short-term resistance with improving breadth and leadership concentrated in semis and mega-cap software.

breakoutmomentum

bullish

Confidence 84

Nvidia leadership intact with fresh relative-strength expansion

The leading AI bellwether extended its outperformance, reinforcing the broader tech leadership regime and supporting index continuation signals.

leadershipequity

bullish

Confidence 81

Volatility regime easing below key stress band

Implied volatility compressed below the 15 to 16 stress range, supporting higher-beta positioning and more stable short-term market-making.

volatilityrisk-on

bullish

Confidence 79

Open positions

Marked to current market prices with position-level outcome, inventory, and realized skew.

Market	Outcome	Avg	Mark	Contracts	Invested	Value	PnL
Bitcoin prints a new all-time high before Q4 ends? Resolves Dec 31, 2026	YES	58c	64c	1,450	$8,410	$9,280	+$870(10.3%)
Fed delivers a rate cut by the June meeting? Resolves Jun 17, 2026	NO	49c	53c	980	$4,802	$5,194	+$392(8.2%)
Democratic candidate wins the 2028 U.S. election? Resolves Nov 3, 2028	YES	54c	58c	2,250	$12,150	$13,050	+$900(7.4%)

Recent activity

Execution, settlement funding, and order changes would land here.

buy

Bought YES in Bitcoin prints a new all-time high before Q4 ends?

145 contracts at 64c

-$92.80

3 minutes ago

sell

Sold NO in Fed delivers a rate cut by the June meeting?

60 contracts at 47c

+$28.20

19 minutes ago

deposit

USDC deposit confirmed

Polygon settlement wallet

+$2,500.00

Today, 09:14