Research desk live12 signals5 linked markets
0xA91E...7C2A
macroVIXbullish

Volatility regime easing below key stress band

Implied volatility compressed below the 15 to 16 stress range, supporting higher-beta positioning and more stable short-term market-making.

volatilityrisk-onregime

Confidence

79

Strength

high

Triggered

28m ago

Timeframe

1D

Signal trajectory

Compact confidence path for the current signal window.

Mon

60

Tue

62

Wed

64

Thu

69

Fri

74

Now

79

Methodology

Triggered when VIX closes below its recent regime band with concurrent narrowing intraday range and stable cross-asset spreads.

Source summary

Volatility term structure, realized volatility, and cross-asset stress proxies.

Risk note

Macro event repricing can quickly reverse low-volatility regimes.

Related assets

Symbols currently linked to this signal cluster.

NDXSPXBTC

Linked prediction opportunities

Markets most directly affected by this signal right now.

A clean directional market for macro liquidity, ETF flows, and reflexive crypto momentum.

Linked signal

BTC

Bitcoin demand supported by persistent ETF net inflows

Spot demand continues to absorb supply, giving crypto risk higher conviction and keeping new highs within reach.

Yes

64%

No

36%

Probability skew64% / 36%
7D probability path64%

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

Volume

$3.8M

Liquidity

deep

Traders

1,512

Comments

178

Bias

+7.8%

A macro expression on inflation trajectory, employment cooling, and policy messaging.

Linked signal

VIX

Volatility regime easing below key stress band

Implied volatility compressed below the 15 to 16 stress range, supporting higher-beta positioning and more stable short-term market-making.

Yes

47%

No

53%

Probability skew47% / 53%
7D probability path58%

Resolves

Jun 17, 2026

Volume

$2.15M

Liquidity

active

Traders

904

Comments

95

Bias

-1.6%